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Home » Predictions » Others » Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for January 4 in Spain Copa del Rey
Saturday, 04 January 2025, 20h30 Spain Copa del Rey
Marbella FC Marbella FC
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid Wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for January 4 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid, Saturday, 4/1/2025
📅 4/1/2025
20:30
Marbella FC Marbella FC
10.00
X
5.00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1.28

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid:

🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $640.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Marbella FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $526.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Atletico Madrid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Atletico Madrid is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 7 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid for the Spain Copa del Rey – 4 of January

🏟️ Marbella FC X Atletico Madrid – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 4 of January, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 Marbella FC – Winning probability: 1.03% | Fair line: 97.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.33% | Fair line: 75.3
🔴 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 97.65% | Fair line: 1.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Marbella FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marbella FC and Atletico Madrid.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1242003 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid

Should you bet on Marbella FC?

🔵 Marbella FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $90.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$900.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $40.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$950.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Madrid?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $274.40;
  • And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$254.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Marbella FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Marbella FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Marbella FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marbella FC x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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