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Home » Predictions » Others » Marbella FC x Burgos Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey
Thursday, 05 December 2024, 19h00 Spain Copa del Rey
Marbella FC Marbella FC
PREDICTION Burgos Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Burgos Burgos
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction!

Marbella FC x Burgos Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Marbella FC x Burgos, Thursday, 5/12/2024
📅 5/12/2024
19:00
Marbella FC Marbella FC
3.30
X
3.02
Burgos Burgos
2.26

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Marbella FC x Burgos:

🔮 Burgos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burgos, you can win up to $1130.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Marbella FC x Burgos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Marbella FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Burgos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-356.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Burgos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Burgos as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Marbella FC x Burgos?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marbella FC x Burgos, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Marbella FC x Burgos for the Spain Copa del Rey – 5 of December

🏟️ Marbella FC X Burgos – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 5 of December, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Marbella FC – Winning probability: 28.09% | Fair line: 3.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.33% | Fair line: 6.12
🔴 Burgos – Winning probability: 55.58% | Fair line: 1.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marbella FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marbella FC x Burgos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232417 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marbella FC x Burgos

Is it worth betting on Marbella FC?

🔵 Marbella FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $644.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $323.20;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$516.80.

Should you bet on Burgos?

🔴 Burgos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $705.60;
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$265.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Marbella FC x Burgos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marbella FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marbella FC x Burgos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Marbella FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Marbella FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marbella FC x Burgos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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