Marcilio Dias x Criciuma Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
| 📅 7/1/2026 22:00 |
 Marcilio Dias3.42 |
X 3.00 |
Criciuma  2.07 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marcilio Dias x Criciuma:
🔮 Criciuma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Criciuma, you can win up to $1035.00!
Important information for your tip for Marcilio Dias x Criciuma:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Marcilio Dias scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Criciuma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Marcilio Dias x Criciuma, with Marcilio Dias as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Marcilio Dias matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Marcilio Dias is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Marcilio Dias x Criciuma?
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Analysis from Marcilio Dias x Criciuma for the Brazil Campeonato Catarinense – 7 of January
🏟️ Marcilio Dias X Criciuma – Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
📅 7 of January, 2026 – 22:00
🔵 Marcilio Dias – Winning probability: 29.62% | Fair line: 3.38
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.31% | Fair line: 5.78
🔴 Criciuma – Winning probability: 53.07% | Fair line: 1.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marcilio Dias
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Marcilio Dias x Criciuma
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marcilio Dias and Criciuma.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460319 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is betting on Marcilio Dias worth it?
🔵 Marcilio Dias: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $726.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$26.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$490.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Criciuma?
🔴 Criciuma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $567.10;
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$97.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Marcilio Dias x Criciuma
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marcilio Dias
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marcilio Dias x Criciuma
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Marcilio Dias, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Marcilio Dias. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marcilio Dias x Criciuma
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
