Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 19/4/2025 21:00 |
 Marcilio Dias2.06 |
X 3.00 |
Sao Jose PA  3.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA:
🔮 Marcilio Dias wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marcilio Dias, you can win up to $1030.00!
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The main points for the tip for Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marcilio Dias in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April
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🏟️ Marcilio Dias X Sao Jose PA – Brazil Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marcilio Dias and Sao Jose PA.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1306948 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA
Should you bet on Marcilio Dias?
🔵 Marcilio Dias: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $593.60;
- And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$153.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $380.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.
Should you bet on Sao Jose PA?
🔴 Sao Jose PA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Marcilio Dias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Marcilio Dias and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Marcilio Dias.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sao Jose PA.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marcilio Dias x Sao Jose PA
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
