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Home » Predictions » Others » Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo Betting tips for July 28 in Bulgaria Second League
Sunday, 28 July 2024, 12h30 Bulgaria Second League
Marek Dupnitsa Marek Dupnitsa
PREDICTION Marek Dupnitsa wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Yantra Gabrovo Yantra Gabrovo
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo Betting tips for July 28 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo, Sunday, 28/7/2024
📅 28/7/2024
12:30
Marek Dupnitsa Marek Dupnitsa
1.72
X
3.20
Yantra Gabrovo Yantra Gabrovo
4.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo:

🔮 Marek Dupnitsa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marek Dupnitsa, you can win up to $860.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo:

👉 In the last 3 Yantra Gabrovo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo for the Bulgaria Second League – 28 of July

🏟️ Marek Dupnitsa X Yantra Gabrovo – Bulgaria Second League
📅 28 of July, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 Marek Dupnitsa – Winning probability: 65.46% | Fair line: 1.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.24% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Yantra Gabrovo – Winning probability: 10.30% | Fair line: 9.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Marek Dupnitsa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marek Dupnitsa and Yantra Gabrovo.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1151649 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo

Should you bet on Marek Dupnitsa?

🔵 Marek Dupnitsa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$118.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is it worth betting on Yantra Gabrovo?

🔴 Yantra Gabrovo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $349.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$551.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Marek Dupnitsa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Marek Dupnitsa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Marek Dupnitsa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Yantra Gabrovo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marek Dupnitsa x Yantra Gabrovo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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