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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Marignane x GOAL FC Betting tips for November 24 in France National
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 France National
Marignane Marignane
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
GOAL FC GOAL FC
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Marignane x GOAL FC Betting tips for November 24 in France National

Our betting tip for Marignane x GOAL FC, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
Marignane Marignane
2.51
X
2.90
GOAL FC GOAL FC
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Marignane x GOAL FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Marignane x GOAL FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Marignane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on GOAL FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Marignane matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, GOAL FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Marignane x GOAL FC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Marignane x GOAL FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marignane x GOAL FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Marignane x GOAL FC for the France National – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Marignane X GOAL FC – France National
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
๐Ÿ”ต Marignane – Winning probability: 33.36% | Fair line: 3.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.87% | Fair line: 2.79
๐Ÿ”ด GOAL FC – Winning probability: 30.76% | Fair line: 3.25
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marignane
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marignane x GOAL FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marignane x GOAL FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Marignane?

๐Ÿ”ต Marignane: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $498.30;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$171.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$44.00.

Is it worth betting on GOAL FC?

๐Ÿ”ด GOAL FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $542.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$147.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Marignane x GOAL FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Marignane
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marignane x GOAL FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Marignane, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Marignane.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 GOAL FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marignane x GOAL FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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