Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC Betting tips for March 29 in Australia Queensland Premier League 2

Our betting tip for Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025
08:00

Maroochydore
2.15

X
3.72

Mitchelton FC

2.56

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC:

🔮 Mitchelton FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mitchelton FC, you can win up to $1280.00!

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The main points for the tip for Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maroochydore in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mitchelton FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Maroochydore scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mitchelton FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Maroochydore matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Mitchelton FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Maroochydore conceded at least 2 goal(s).

Summary

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Analysis from Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC for the Australia Queensland Premier League 2 – 29 of March

🏟️ Maroochydore X Mitchelton FC – Australia Queensland Premier League 2
📅 29 of March, 2025 – 08:00
🔵 Maroochydore – Winning probability: 34.14% | Fair line: 2.93
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.88% | Fair line: 5.59
🔴 Mitchelton FC – Winning probability: 47.98% | Fair line: 2.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Maroochydore
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1290768 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Maroochydore?

🔵 Maroochydore: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 340 times – profiting $391.00;
And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$269.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $489.60;
And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.40.

Is it worth betting on Mitchelton FC?

🔴 Mitchelton FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $748.80;
And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$228.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Maroochydore
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Maroochydore and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Maroochydore.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mitchelton FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maroochydore x Mitchelton FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.