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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Marske United x Gainsborough Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Northern Premier League
Marske United Marske United
PREDICTION No tip
Gainsborough Gainsborough
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Marske United x Gainsborough Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Marske United x Gainsborough, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Marske United Marske United
3.03
X
3.69
Gainsborough Gainsborough
1.98

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marske United x Gainsborough:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Marske United x Gainsborough

The main points for the tip for Marske United x Gainsborough:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Marske United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gainsborough in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Gainsborough conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Marske United x Gainsborough

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Summary

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Analysis from Marske United x Gainsborough for the England Northern Premier League – 25 of November

🏟️ Marske United X Gainsborough – England Northern Premier League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Marske United – Winning probability: 25.14% | Fair line: 3.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.30% | Fair line: 3.95
πŸ”΄ Gainsborough – Winning probability: 49.56% | Fair line: 2.02
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Marske United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marske United and Gainsborough.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marske United x Gainsborough

Is it a good idea to bet on Marske United?

πŸ”΅ Marske United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $507.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$242.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $672.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$77.50.

Is it worth betting on Gainsborough?

πŸ”΄ Gainsborough: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $490.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$10.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Marske United x Gainsborough

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Marske United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marske United x Gainsborough

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Marske United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Marske United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Gainsborough.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marske United x Gainsborough

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves