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Home » Predictions » Others » Martina x Virtus Francavilla Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Martina Martina
PREDICTION No tip
Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
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Martina x Virtus Francavilla Betting tips for November 3 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Martina x Virtus Francavilla, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
13:30
Martina Martina
2.24
X
2.96
Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
3.07

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Martina x Virtus Francavilla:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Martina x Virtus Francavilla

The main points for the tip for Martina x Virtus Francavilla:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Martina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 4 Virtus Francavilla matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Martina x Virtus Francavilla?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Martina x Virtus Francavilla:

Analysis from Martina x Virtus Francavilla for the Italy Serie D – 3 of November

🏟️ Martina X Virtus Francavilla – Italy Serie D
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Martina – Winning probability: 44.52% | Fair line: 2.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.08% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 Virtus Francavilla – Winning probability: 23.40% | Fair line: 4.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Martina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Martina x Virtus Francavilla is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214487 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Martina x Virtus Francavilla

Is betting on Martina worth it?

🔵 Martina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $558.00;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $627.20;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$52.80.

Is it worth betting on Virtus Francavilla?

🔴 Virtus Francavilla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $476.10;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$293.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Martina x Virtus Francavilla

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Martina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Martina x Virtus Francavilla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Martina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Martina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Martina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Martina x Virtus Francavilla

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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