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Home » Predictions » Others » MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes Betting tips for September 29 in Morocco GNF 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Morocco GNF 1
MAT Tetouan MAT Tetouan
PREDICTION MAT Tetouan wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
CODM Meknes CODM Meknes
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes Betting tips for September 29 in Morocco GNF 1

Our betting tip for MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
12:00
MAT Tetouan MAT Tetouan
1.75
X
3.10
CODM Meknes CODM Meknes
4.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes:

🔮 MAT Tetouan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on MAT Tetouan, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on MAT Tetouan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CODM Meknes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 CODM Meknes did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CODM Meknes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CODM Meknes as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes:

Analysis from MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes for the Morocco GNF 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ MAT Tetouan X CODM Meknes – Morocco GNF 1
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 MAT Tetouan – Winning probability: 66.56% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.25% | Fair line: 5.2
🔴 CODM Meknes – Winning probability: 14.19% | Fair line: 7.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 MAT Tetouan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes

Is betting on MAT Tetouan worth it?

🔵 MAT Tetouan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $502.50
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$172.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $399.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$411.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CODM Meknes?

🔴 CODM Meknes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $501.20
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$358.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 MAT Tetouan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 MAT Tetouan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 MAT Tetouan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CODM Meknes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MAT Tetouan x CODM Meknes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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