Matagalpa FC x Managua FC Betting tips for December 1 in Nicaragua Apertura

Our betting tip for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 21:00

Matagalpa FC 1.75

X 3.40

Managua FC 4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC

Some important points for the tip for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Managua FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Managua FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Managua FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Matagalpa FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Managua FC.

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Analysis from Matagalpa FC x Managua FC for the Nicaragua Apertura – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230541 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Matagalpa FC?

🔵 Matagalpa FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $300.00;
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $744.00
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Should you bet on Managua FC?

🔴 Managua FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $870.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Matagalpa FC x Managua FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Matagalpa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Matagalpa FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Matagalpa FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Matagalpa FC x Managua FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.