Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli Betting tips for October 27 in Nicaragua Apertura
| 📅 27/10/2024 21:00 |
 Matagalpa FC3.82 |
X 3.70 |
Real Esteli  1.74 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli:
🔮 Real Esteli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Esteli, you can win up to $870.00!
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The main points for the tip for Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Matagalpa FC scored at least 1 goal(s). |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli for the Nicaragua Apertura – 27 of October
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🏟️ Matagalpa FC X Real Esteli – Nicaragua Apertura |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209557 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli
Should you bet on Matagalpa FC?
🔵 Matagalpa FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $338.40
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$541.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $567.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$223.00.
Is betting on Real Esteli worth it?
🔴 Real Esteli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $495.80
- And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$165.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Matagalpa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Matagalpa FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Matagalpa FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Matagalpa FC x Real Esteli
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
