Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd Betting tips for December 1 in Japan J3-League

Our betting tip for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 05:00

Matsumoto Y FC 1.99

X 3.25

Fukushima Utd 3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd

Important information for your tip for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Matsumoto Y FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fukushima Utd in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $385.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Matsumoto Y FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Fukushima Utd scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Fukushima Utd, Matsumoto Y FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fukushima Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Fukushima Utd has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd for the Japan J3-League – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd

Should you bet on Matsumoto Y FC?

🔵 Matsumoto Y FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $495.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$5.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.50.

Should you bet on Fukushima Utd?

🔴 Fukushima Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $625.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Matsumoto Y FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Matsumoto Y FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Matsumoto Y FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Matsumoto Y FC x Fukushima Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.