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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Mbarara City x SC Villa Betting tips for November 25 in Uganda Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Uganda Premier League
Mbarara City Mbarara City
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 25% 1 X 2
SC Villa SC Villa
ODD: @2.76 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Mbarara City x SC Villa Betting tips for November 25 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for Mbarara City x SC Villa, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:00
Mbarara City Mbarara City
2.24
X
2.76
SC Villa SC Villa
3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mbarara City x SC Villa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1380.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Mbarara City x SC Villa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, SC Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against SC Villa, Mbarara City scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Mbarara City matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 SC Villa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, SC Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, SC Villa has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mbarara City has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against SC Villa playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Mbarara City x SC Villa

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mbarara City x SC Villa?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Mbarara City x SC Villa for the Uganda Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Mbarara City X SC Villa – Uganda Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Mbarara City – Winning probability: 28.71% | Fair line: 3.48
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 45.72% | Fair line: 2.19
๐Ÿ”ด SC Villa – Winning probability: 25.56% | Fair line: 3.91
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mbarara City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mbarara City x SC Villa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mbarara City x SC Villa

Is it worth betting on Mbarara City?

๐Ÿ”ต Mbarara City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $359.60;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$350.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $809.60;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$269.60.

Should you bet on SC Villa?

๐Ÿ”ด SC Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $598.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$142.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mbarara City x SC Villa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mbarara City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mbarara City x SC Villa

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mbarara City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mbarara City.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mbarara City x SC Villa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves