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Home » Predictions » Others » MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21 Betting tips for November 28 in Algeria U21 Division 1
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 14h00 Algeria U21 Division 1
MC El Bayadh U21 MC El Bayadh U21
PREDICTION MC El Bayadh U21 wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
ES Mostaganem U21 ES Mostaganem U21
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21 Betting tips for November 28 in Algeria U21 Division 1

Our betting tip for MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
14:00
MC El Bayadh U21 MC El Bayadh U21
1.91
X
3.25
ES Mostaganem U21 ES Mostaganem U21
3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21:

🔮 MC El Bayadh U21 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on MC El Bayadh U21, you can win up to $955.00!

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Some important points for the tip for MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ES Mostaganem U21 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, MC El Bayadh U21 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, ES Mostaganem U21 scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21 for the Algeria U21 Division 1 – 28 of November

🏟️ MC El Bayadh U21 X ES Mostaganem U21 – Algeria U21 Division 1
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 MC El Bayadh U21 – Winning probability: 60.69% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.18% | Fair line: 4.31
🔴 ES Mostaganem U21 – Winning probability: 16.14% | Fair line: 6.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 MC El Bayadh U21
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229024 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21

Is betting on MC El Bayadh U21 worth it?

🔵 MC El Bayadh U21: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $555.10
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$165.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $517.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on ES Mostaganem U21?

🔴 ES Mostaganem U21: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 MC El Bayadh U21
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 MC El Bayadh U21, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 MC El Bayadh U21. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MC El Bayadh U21 x ES Mostaganem U21

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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