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Home » Predictions » Others » MC Oran x USM Khenchela Betting tips for November 22 in Algeria Division 1
Friday, 22 November 2024, 16h45 Algeria Division 1
MC Oran MC Oran
PREDICTION MC Oran wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
USM Khenchela USM Khenchela
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

MC Oran x USM Khenchela Betting tips for November 22 in Algeria Division 1

Our betting tip for MC Oran x USM Khenchela, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
16:45
MC Oran MC Oran
1.65
X
3.30
USM Khenchela USM Khenchela
4.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for MC Oran x USM Khenchela:

🔮 MC Oran wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on MC Oran, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for MC Oran x USM Khenchela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on MC Oran in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $257.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on USM Khenchela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 MC Oran did not concede a goal in the last 8 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, MC Oran scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 MC Oran matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, USM Khenchela conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 MC Oran is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from MC Oran x USM Khenchela for the Algeria Division 1 – 22 of November

🏟️ MC Oran X USM Khenchela – Algeria Division 1
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 16:45
🔵 MC Oran – Winning probability: 69.49% | Fair line: 1.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.88% | Fair line: 4.37
🔴 USM Khenchela – Winning probability: 7.63% | Fair line: 13.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 MC Oran
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for MC Oran x USM Khenchela right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for MC Oran x USM Khenchela

Is it worth betting on MC Oran?

🔵 MC Oran: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $448.50;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$138.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $529.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.00.

Should you bet on USM Khenchela?

🔴 USM Khenchela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $307.20;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$612.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match MC Oran x USM Khenchela

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 MC Oran
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MC Oran x USM Khenchela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 MC Oran, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 MC Oran.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 MC Oran.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MC Oran x USM Khenchela

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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