Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers Betting tips for November 30 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 06:00

Melbourne City 1.80

X 3.90

Western Sydney Wanderers 3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers:

🔮 Melbourne City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne City, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-37.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Western Sydney Wanderers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-216.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Melbourne City scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Western Sydney Wanderers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Western Sydney Wanderers, Melbourne City scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers, with Melbourne City as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Western Sydney Wanderers conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Melbourne City has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Western Sydney Wanderers playing at home.

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Analysis from Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers for the Australia A-League – 30 of November

When the best bet on Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers

Is it worth betting on Melbourne City?

🔵 Melbourne City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 650 times – profiting $520.00;
• And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is it worth betting on Western Sydney Wanderers?

🔴 Western Sydney Wanderers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $406.00;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$454.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Melbourne City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Melbourne City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Melbourne City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Melbourne City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne City x Western Sydney Wanderers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.