Merida x CF Intercity Betting tips for November 23 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Merida x CF Intercity, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 16:30

Merida 1.99

X 3.00

CF Intercity 3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Merida x CF Intercity:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Merida x CF Intercity

Some important points for the tip for Merida x CF Intercity: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Merida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Intercity in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Merida scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Merida matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Merida conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Merida x CF Intercity for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 23 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Merida x CF Intercity right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Merida x CF Intercity

Is betting on Merida worth it?

🔵 Merida: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $435.60;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$124.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CF Intercity?

🔴 CF Intercity: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Merida x CF Intercity

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Merida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Merida x CF Intercity

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Merida and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Merida.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CF Intercity.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Merida x CF Intercity

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.