Mexico FC x Torrejon Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 7
| 📅 20/12/2025 16:00 |
 Mexico FC2.47 |
X 3.05 |
Torrejon  2.62 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mexico FC x Torrejon:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1525.00!
Some important points for the tip for Mexico FC x Torrejon:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mexico FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Torrejon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $138.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mexico FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Mexico FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Torrejon.
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Analysis from Mexico FC x Torrejon for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 20 of December
🏟️ Mexico FC X Torrejon – Spain Tercera Group 7
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Mexico FC – Winning probability: 31.72% | Fair line: 3.15
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.35% | Fair line: 3.0
🔴 Torrejon – Winning probability: 34.93% | Fair line: 2.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mexico FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mexico FC x Torrejon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Mexico FC x Torrejon
Is it worth betting on Mexico FC?
🔵 Mexico FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $470.40;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$209.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $676.50;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$6.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Torrejon?
🔴 Torrejon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $567.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$83.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mexico FC x Torrejon
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mexico FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mexico FC x Torrejon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Mexico FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Mexico FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mexico FC x Torrejon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
