Mexico x Panama Betting tips for March 24 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Mexico x Panama, Monday, 24/3/2025

📅 24/3/2025 01:30

Mexico 1.56

X 3.65

Panama 5.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mexico x Panama:

🔮 Mexico wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mexico, you can win up to $780.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mexico x Panama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mexico in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-34.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Panama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $410.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mexico scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Panama scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Panama, Mexico scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Mexico has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Panama.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mexico x Panama?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Mexico x Panama for the CONCACAF Nations League – 24 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mexico x Panama right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1286666 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mexico x Panama

Is it a good idea to bet on Mexico?

🔵 Mexico: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 790 times – profiting $442.40;
• And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$232.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $397.50;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$452.50.

Should you bet on Panama?

🔴 Panama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $286.80
• And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$653.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mexico x Panama

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Mexico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mexico x Panama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Mexico and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Mexico.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Mexico.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mexico x Panama

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.