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Home » Predictions » Others » Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield Betting tips for November 26 in England Northern Premier League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England Northern Premier League
Mickleover Sports Mickleover Sports
PREDICTION Macclesfield Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Macclesfield Macclesfield
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield Betting tips for November 26 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
19:45
Mickleover Sports Mickleover Sports
6.50
X
4.57
Macclesfield Macclesfield
1.35

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield:

🔮 Macclesfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Macclesfield, you can win up to $675.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mickleover Sports in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Macclesfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Macclesfield scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Macclesfield matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Macclesfield conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield for the England Northern Premier League – 26 of November

🏟️ Mickleover Sports X Macclesfield – England Northern Premier League
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Mickleover Sports – Winning probability: 9.66% | Fair line: 10.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.19% | Fair line: 10.88
🔴 Macclesfield – Winning probability: 81.15% | Fair line: 1.23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Mickleover Sports
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mickleover Sports and Macclesfield.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225593 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

Is it a good idea to bet on Mickleover Sports?

🔵 Mickleover Sports: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $321.30;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$588.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Macclesfield?

🔴 Macclesfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $283.50;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$93.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Mickleover Sports
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Mickleover Sports, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Mickleover Sports.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Mickleover Sports.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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