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Home » Predictions » Others » Middelfart x Thisted FC Betting tips for November 9 in Denmark Division 2
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 13h00 Denmark Division 2
Middelfart Middelfart
PREDICTION Middelfart wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Thisted FC Thisted FC
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Middelfart x Thisted FC Betting tips for November 9 in Denmark Division 2

Our betting tip for Middelfart x Thisted FC, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
13:00
Middelfart Middelfart
1.40
X
4.40
Thisted FC Thisted FC
6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Middelfart x Thisted FC:

🔮 Middelfart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Middelfart, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Middelfart x Thisted FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Middelfart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-76.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Thisted FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Middelfart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Thisted FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Middelfart has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Thisted FC playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Middelfart x Thisted FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Middelfart x Thisted FC:

Analysis from Middelfart x Thisted FC for the Denmark Division 2 – 9 of November

🏟️ Middelfart X Thisted FC – Denmark Division 2
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Middelfart – Winning probability: 78.86% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.11% | Fair line: 6.21
🔴 Thisted FC – Winning probability: 5.03% | Fair line: 19.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Middelfart
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Middelfart x Thisted FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Middelfart x Thisted FC

Is betting on Middelfart worth it?

🔵 Middelfart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $316.00;
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$106.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $544.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.00.

Is betting on Thisted FC worth it?

🔴 Thisted FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $275.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$675.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Middelfart x Thisted FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Middelfart
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Middelfart x Thisted FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Middelfart, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Middelfart. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Middelfart x Thisted FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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