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Home » Predictions » Others » Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock Betting tips for November 25 in Poland I Liga
Monday, 25 November 2024, 18h00 Poland I Liga
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
PREDICTION Wisla Plock Wins Probability 29% 1 X 2
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock Betting tips for November 25 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
18:00
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
2.00
X
3.40
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock:

🔮 Wisla Plock wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wisla Plock, you can win up to $1650.00!

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Important information for your tip for Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Miedz Legnica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-196.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wisla Plock in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-28.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Miedz Legnica scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wisla Plock, Miedz Legnica scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock, with Miedz Legnica as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Miedz Legnica has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Wisla Plock.

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Summary

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Analysis from Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock for the Poland I Liga – 25 of November

🏟️ Miedz Legnica X Wisla Plock – Poland I Liga
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Miedz Legnica – Winning probability: 42.60% | Fair line: 2.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.42% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 Wisla Plock – Winning probability: 29.99% | Fair line: 3.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Miedz Legnica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock

Should you bet on Miedz Legnica?

🔵 Miedz Legnica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $430.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$140.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Wisla Plock?

🔴 Wisla Plock: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $690.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$10.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Miedz Legnica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Miedz Legnica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Miedz Legnica.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Wisla Plock.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Miedz Legnica x Wisla Plock

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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