Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira Betting tips for November 11 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira, Monday, 11/11/2024

📅 11/11/2024 01:30

Millonarios 1.62

X 3.30

Deportivo Pereira 5.54

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira:

🔮 Millonarios wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millonarios, you can win up to $810.00!

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The main points for the tip for Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pereira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pereira scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira, with Millonarios as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pereira conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Millonarios has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Pereira playing at home.

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Analysis from Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira for the Colombia Primera A – 11 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Millonarios and Deportivo Pereira.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1219192 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira

Is it a good idea to bet on Millonarios?

🔵 Millonarios: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 760 times – profiting $471.20;
• And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$231.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $437.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Should you bet on Deportivo Pereira?

🔴 Deportivo Pereira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $227.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$723.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Millonarios
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Millonarios and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Millonarios.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Millonarios.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pereira

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.