Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe Betting tips for March 27 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 27/3/2025 01:30 |
 Millonarios2.00 |
X 2.93 |
Independiente Santa Fe  3.75 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe
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Important information for your tip for Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $38.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe?
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Analysis from Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe for the Colombia Primera A – 27 of March
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🏟️ Millonarios X Independiente Santa Fe – Colombia Primera A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Millonarios and Independiente Santa Fe.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1289606 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe
Is it worth betting on Millonarios?
🔵 Millonarios: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $480.00;
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$40.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $656.20;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$3.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on Independiente Santa Fe?
🔴 Independiente Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Millonarios
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Millonarios, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Millonarios.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Independiente Santa Fe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Millonarios x Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
