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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante Betting tips for October 26 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Atlante Atlante
ODD: @3.11 Don't miss this prediction!

Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante Betting tips for October 26 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante, Saturday, 26/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 26/10/2024
01:00
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
2.90
X
3.11
Atlante Atlante
2.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1555.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $167.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atlante in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Mineros de Zacatecas scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atlante scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atlante, Mineros de Zacatecas scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Mineros de Zacatecas matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Atlante has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 26 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Mineros de Zacatecas X Atlante – Mexico Liga de Expansion
๐Ÿ“… 26 of October, 2024 – 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Mineros de Zacatecas – Winning probability: 26.21% | Fair line: 3.82
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.04% | Fair line: 2.85
๐Ÿ”ด Atlante – Winning probability: 38.75% | Fair line: 2.58
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mineros de Zacatecas
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208023 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante

Is it a good idea to bet on Mineros de Zacatecas?

๐Ÿ”ต Mineros de Zacatecas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$246.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $738.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$88.50.

Is betting on Atlante worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Atlante: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $514.80
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$95.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mineros de Zacatecas
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Mineros de Zacatecas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Mineros de Zacatecas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Mineros de Zacatecas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mineros de Zacatecas x Atlante

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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