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Home » Predictions » Others » Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv Betting tips for October 31 in Bulgaria Cup
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 11h30 Bulgaria Cup
Minyor Pernik Minyor Pernik
PREDICTION Botev Plovdiv Wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
ODD: @1.13 Don't miss this prediction!

Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv Betting tips for October 31 in Bulgaria Cup

Our betting tip for Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
11:30
Minyor Pernik Minyor Pernik
18.10
X
6.10
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
1.13

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv:

🔮 Botev Plovdiv wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botev Plovdiv, you can win up to $565.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Minyor Pernik in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-152.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botev Plovdiv in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $426.0.
👉 In the last 6 Minyor Pernik matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Botev Plovdiv matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv for the Bulgaria Cup – 31 of October

🏟️ Minyor Pernik X Botev Plovdiv – Bulgaria Cup
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 Minyor Pernik – Winning probability: 0.02% | Fair line: 4513.47
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.45% | Fair line: 224.08
🔴 Botev Plovdiv – Winning probability: 99.53% | Fair line: 1.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Minyor Pernik
⚽ Expected goals: 5.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213227 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv

Is it a good idea to bet on Minyor Pernik?

🔵 Minyor Pernik: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 18.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Botev Plovdiv?

🔴 Botev Plovdiv: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – profiting $130.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$130.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 Minyor Pernik
⚽ Expected goals: 5.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.25 Minyor Pernik, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Minyor Pernik.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Botev Plovdiv.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Minyor Pernik x Botev Plovdiv

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 5.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 2.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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