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Home » Predictions » Others » Miramar Misiones x Cerro Betting tips for March 28 in Uruguay Apertura
Friday, 28 March 2025, 00h15 Uruguay Apertura
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
PREDICTION Cerro Wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
Cerro Cerro
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Miramar Misiones x Cerro Betting tips for March 28 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Miramar Misiones x Cerro, Friday, 28/3/2025
📅 28/3/2025
00:15
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
2.60
X
2.75
Cerro Cerro
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Miramar Misiones x Cerro:

🔮 Cerro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerro, you can win up to $1450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Miramar Misiones x Cerro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Miramar Misiones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Miramar Misiones scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Miramar Misiones x Cerro?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Miramar Misiones x Cerro, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Miramar Misiones x Cerro for the Uruguay Apertura – 28 of March

🏟️ Miramar Misiones X Cerro – Uruguay Apertura
📅 28 of March, 2025 – 00:15
🔵 Miramar Misiones – Winning probability: 30.27% | Fair line: 3.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.24% | Fair line: 3.31
🔴 Cerro – Winning probability: 39.49% | Fair line: 2.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Miramar Misiones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Miramar Misiones x Cerro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1289949 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Miramar Misiones x Cerro

Is betting on Miramar Misiones worth it?

🔵 Miramar Misiones: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on Cerro worth it?

🔴 Cerro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $741.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Miramar Misiones x Cerro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Miramar Misiones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Miramar Misiones x Cerro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Miramar Misiones and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Miramar Misiones.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Cerro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Miramar Misiones x Cerro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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