Mirassol x Coritiba Betting tips for November 6 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Mirassol x Coritiba, Wednesday, 6/11/2024

📅 6/11/2024 00:30

Mirassol 1.91

X 3.10

Coritiba 4.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mirassol x Coritiba:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Mirassol x Coritiba

Some important points for the tip for Mirassol x Coritiba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Coritiba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $210.0. 👉 Mirassol did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mirassol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Coritiba scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Coritiba matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Mirassol is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Mirassol x Coritiba for the Brazil Serie B – 6 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mirassol x Coritiba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1216337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mirassol x Coritiba

Is betting on Mirassol worth it?

🔵 Mirassol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $491.40;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$31.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it worth betting on Coritiba?

🔴 Coritiba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $592.80;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mirassol x Coritiba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mirassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mirassol x Coritiba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mirassol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Mirassol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Coritiba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mirassol x Coritiba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.