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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
PREDICTION No tip
Warta Sieradz Warta Sieradz
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MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
1.48
X
4.20
Warta Sieradz Warta Sieradz
5.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz

The main points for the tip for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Warta Sieradz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-101.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Warta Sieradz conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz for the Poland III Liga – 25 of November

🏟️ MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki X Warta Sieradz – Poland III Liga
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki – Winning probability: 72.86% | Fair line: 1.37
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.80% | Fair line: 4.81
πŸ”΄ Warta Sieradz – Winning probability: 6.34% | Fair line: 15.77
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz

Is it worth betting on MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?

πŸ”΅ MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $350.40;
  • And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$80.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$118.00.

Is it worth betting on Warta Sieradz?

πŸ”΄ Warta Sieradz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $252.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$688.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Warta Sieradz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki x Warta Sieradz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

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