Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for November 30 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 16:00

Mladost Lucani 11.17

X 6.50

Crvena Zvezda 1.17

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda:

🔮 Crvena Zvezda wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crvena Zvezda, you can win up to $585.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mladost Lucani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $208.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crvena Zvezda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-157.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Crvena Zvezda scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Mladost Lucani conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Crvena Zvezda. 👉 Even as a visitor, Crvena Zvezda won the last 5 head-to-head matches Mladost Lucani´s territory

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Analysis from Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda for the Serbia Super Liga – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda

Is betting on Mladost Lucani worth it?

🔵 Mladost Lucani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $55.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$935.00.

Should you bet on Crvena Zvezda?

🔴 Crvena Zvezda: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $168.30;
• And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$158.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Mladost Lucani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.0 Mladost Lucani and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.0 Mladost Lucani.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mladost Lucani x Crvena Zvezda

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.