Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC Betting tips for November 30 in India Super League

Our betting tip for Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 14:00

Mohun Bagan SG 1.55

X 4.00

Chennaiyin FC 4.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC:

🔮 Mohun Bagan SG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mohun Bagan SG, you can win up to $775.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mohun Bagan SG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-32.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chennaiyin FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-28.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mohun Bagan SG scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Chennaiyin FC, Mohun Bagan SG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Mohun Bagan SG matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Chennaiyin FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Chennaiyin FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Mohun Bagan SG conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Chennaiyin FC. 👉 Mohun Bagan SG is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC for the India Super League – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Mohun Bagan SG?

🔵 Mohun Bagan SG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $412.50;
• And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.

Is betting on Chennaiyin FC worth it?

🔴 Chennaiyin FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $340.20;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$569.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Mohun Bagan SG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Mohun Bagan SG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Mohun Bagan SG.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Mohun Bagan SG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mohun Bagan SG x Chennaiyin FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.