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Home » Predictions » Others » Moik Baku x Zaqatala Betting tips for November 27 in Azerbaijan Division 1
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 10h30 Azerbaijan Division 1
Moik Baku Moik Baku
PREDICTION Moik Baku wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Zaqatala Zaqatala
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Moik Baku x Zaqatala Betting tips for November 27 in Azerbaijan Division 1

Our betting tip for Moik Baku x Zaqatala, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
10:30
Moik Baku Moik Baku
1.80
X
3.60
Zaqatala Zaqatala
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Moik Baku x Zaqatala:

🔮 Moik Baku wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Moik Baku, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Moik Baku x Zaqatala:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Zaqatala in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Moik Baku scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Zaqatala, Moik Baku scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Moik Baku matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Moik Baku conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Zaqatala conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Moik Baku has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Zaqatala.

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Summary

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Analysis from Moik Baku x Zaqatala for the Azerbaijan Division 1 – 27 of November

🏟️ Moik Baku X Zaqatala – Azerbaijan Division 1
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Moik Baku – Winning probability: 58.48% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.19% | Fair line: 3.68
🔴 Zaqatala – Winning probability: 14.32% | Fair line: 6.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Moik Baku
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Moik Baku x Zaqatala is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Moik Baku x Zaqatala

Should you bet on Moik Baku?

🔵 Moik Baku: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$44.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $702.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$28.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Zaqatala?

🔴 Zaqatala: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $350.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$510.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Moik Baku x Zaqatala

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Moik Baku
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moik Baku x Zaqatala

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Moik Baku and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Moik Baku.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moik Baku x Zaqatala

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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