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Home » Predictions » Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield Betting tips for November 30 in Wales Championship North
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Wales Championship North
Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra
PREDICTION Mold Alexandra wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Guilsfield Guilsfield
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield Betting tips for November 30 in Wales Championship North

Our betting tip for Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra
1.75
X
4.00
Guilsfield Guilsfield
3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield:

🔮 Mold Alexandra wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mold Alexandra, you can win up to $875.00!

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Important information for your tip for Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mold Alexandra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $87.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guilsfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Mold Alexandra matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mold Alexandra conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Guilsfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Guilsfield as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield for the Wales Championship North – 30 of November

🏟️ Mold Alexandra X Guilsfield – Wales Championship North
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Mold Alexandra – Winning probability: 62.75% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.42% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 Guilsfield – Winning probability: 14.83% | Fair line: 6.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Mold Alexandra
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield

Should you bet on Mold Alexandra?

🔵 Mold Alexandra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is betting on Guilsfield worth it?

🔴 Guilsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$490.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Mold Alexandra
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Mold Alexandra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Mold Alexandra.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Mold Alexandra.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mold Alexandra x Guilsfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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