Molde x Apoel Nicosia Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 28/11/2024 17:45 |
 Molde1.65 |
X 3.75 |
Apoel Nicosia  4.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Molde x Apoel Nicosia:
🔮 Molde wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Molde, you can win up to $825.00!
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The main points for the tip for Molde x Apoel Nicosia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Molde in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-22.0. |
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Analysis from Molde x Apoel Nicosia for the UEFA Conference League – 28 of November
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🏟️ Molde X Apoel Nicosia – UEFA Conference League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Molde x Apoel Nicosia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229024 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Molde x Apoel Nicosia
Is it worth betting on Molde?
🔵 Molde: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $481.00
- And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$221.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $357.50;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$512.50.
Is it worth betting on Apoel Nicosia?
🔴 Apoel Nicosia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$376.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Molde x Apoel Nicosia
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Molde
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Molde x Apoel Nicosia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Molde and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Molde.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Molde.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Molde x Apoel Nicosia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
