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Home » Predictions » Others » Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens Betting tips for December 22 in Jamaica Premier League
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 20h00 Jamaica Premier League
Molynes United FC Molynes United FC
PREDICTION Tivoli Gardens Wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Tivoli Gardens Tivoli Gardens
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens Betting tips for December 22 in Jamaica Premier League

Our betting tip for Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
20:00
Molynes United FC Molynes United FC
4.00
X
3.60
Tivoli Gardens Tivoli Gardens
1.74

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens:

🔮 Tivoli Gardens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tivoli Gardens, you can win up to $870.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Molynes United FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tivoli Gardens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tivoli Gardens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Tivoli Gardens matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Molynes United FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Tivoli Gardens conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Molynes United FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Tivoli Gardens.

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Summary

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Analysis from Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens for the Jamaica Premier League – 22 of December

🏟️ Molynes United FC X Tivoli Gardens – Jamaica Premier League
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Molynes United FC – Winning probability: 12.67% | Fair line: 7.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.94% | Fair line: 6.27
🔴 Tivoli Gardens – Winning probability: 71.39% | Fair line: 1.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Molynes United FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239281 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens

Should you bet on Molynes United FC?

🔵 Molynes United FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is betting on Tivoli Gardens worth it?

🔴 Tivoli Gardens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $525.40
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$235.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Molynes United FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Molynes United FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Molynes United FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Tivoli Gardens.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Molynes United FC x Tivoli Gardens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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