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Home » Predictions » Others » Monagas x Estudiantes Merida Betting tips for November 10 in Venezuela Primera Division
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 23h30 Venezuela Primera Division
Monagas Monagas
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Estudiantes Merida Estudiantes Merida
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Monagas x Estudiantes Merida Betting tips for November 10 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Monagas x Estudiantes Merida, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
23:30
Monagas Monagas
1.93
X
3.30
Estudiantes Merida Estudiantes Merida
3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monagas x Estudiantes Merida:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Monagas x Estudiantes Merida:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monagas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes Merida in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monagas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Estudiantes Merida, Monagas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monagas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Estudiantes Merida conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Monagas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Estudiantes Merida.
👉 Monagas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Estudiantes Merida playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Estudiantes Merida as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Monagas x Estudiantes Merida?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monagas x Estudiantes Merida, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monagas x Estudiantes Merida for the Venezuela Primera Division – 10 of November

🏟️ Monagas X Estudiantes Merida – Venezuela Primera Division
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Monagas – Winning probability: 41.71% | Fair line: 2.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.74% | Fair line: 2.72
🔴 Estudiantes Merida – Winning probability: 21.55% | Fair line: 4.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monagas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monagas x Estudiantes Merida right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1219192 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monagas x Estudiantes Merida

Is it worth betting on Monagas?

🔵 Monagas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $390.60;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$189.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $851.00;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$221.00.

Is betting on Estudiantes Merida worth it?

🔴 Estudiantes Merida: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monagas x Estudiantes Merida

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monagas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monagas x Estudiantes Merida

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Monagas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Monagas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Monagas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monagas x Estudiantes Merida

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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