Monagas x Portuguesa Betting tips for February 16 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Monagas x Portuguesa, Sunday, 16/2/2025

📅 16/2/2025 21:00

Monagas 2.15

X 3.20

Portuguesa 3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monagas x Portuguesa:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Monagas x Portuguesa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monagas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Portuguesa did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monagas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Portuguesa, Monagas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Portuguesa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Monagas x Portuguesa, with Monagas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Monagas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Portuguesa.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Monagas x Portuguesa?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Monagas x Portuguesa for the Venezuela Primera Division – 16 of February

When the best bet on Monagas x Portuguesa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1263850 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monagas x Portuguesa

Is it a good idea to bet on Monagas?

🔵 Monagas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $414.00;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$226.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $770.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$120.00.

Should you bet on Portuguesa?

🔴 Portuguesa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $580.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monagas x Portuguesa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Monagas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monagas x Portuguesa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Monagas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Monagas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Portuguesa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monagas x Portuguesa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.