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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Montana x Strumska slava Betting tips for November 25 in Bulgaria Second League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Bulgaria Second League
Montana Montana
PREDICTION Montana wins Probability 9% 1 X 2
Strumska slava Strumska slava
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Montana x Strumska slava Betting tips for November 25 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Montana x Strumska slava, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:30
Montana Montana
1.60
X
3.50
Strumska slava Strumska slava
5.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Montana x Strumska slava:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Montana wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montana, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Montana x Strumska slava:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Montana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Strumska slava matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Montana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Montana has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Strumska slava playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Montana x Strumska slava

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Montana x Strumska slava for the Bulgaria Second League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Montana X Strumska slava – Bulgaria Second League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:30
๐Ÿ”ต Montana – Winning probability: 66.57% | Fair line: 1.5
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.77% | Fair line: 4.21
๐Ÿ”ด Strumska slava – Winning probability: 9.66% | Fair line: 10.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Montana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montana x Strumska slava right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montana x Strumska slava

Is betting on Montana worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Montana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $402.00;
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$72.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on Strumska slava?

๐Ÿ”ด Strumska slava: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $410.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$490.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Montana x Strumska slava

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Montana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montana x Strumska slava

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Montana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Montana. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montana x Strumska slava

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves