Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso Betting tips for March 27 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso, Thursday, 27/3/2025

📅 27/3/2025 22:00

Montevideo Wanderers 1.96

X 3.30

Club Atletico Progreso 3.64

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso

The main points for the tip for Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montevideo Wanderers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Montevideo Wanderers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Club Atletico Progreso scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Club Atletico Progreso, Montevideo Wanderers scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Club Atletico Progreso conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Montevideo Wanderers has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Club Atletico Progreso.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso for the Uruguay Apertura – 27 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Montevideo Wanderers and Club Atletico Progreso.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1289949 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso

Is it worth betting on Montevideo Wanderers?

🔵 Montevideo Wanderers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $460.80;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$59.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $529.00
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.00.

Is it worth betting on Club Atletico Progreso?

🔴 Club Atletico Progreso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $765.60;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$55.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Montevideo Wanderers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Montevideo Wanderers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Montevideo Wanderers.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Club Atletico Progreso.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montevideo Wanderers x Club Atletico Progreso

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.