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Home » Predictions » Others » Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones Betting tips for November 26 in Uruguay Clausura
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 21h45 Uruguay Clausura
Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers
PREDICTION Montevideo Wanderers wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones Betting tips for November 26 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
21:45
Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers
2.10
X
3.25
Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones
3.26

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones:

🔮 Montevideo Wanderers wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montevideo Wanderers, you can win up to $1050.00!

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The main points for the tip for Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Montevideo Wanderers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Miramar Misiones in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Montevideo Wanderers conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones for the Uruguay Clausura – 26 of November

🏟️ Montevideo Wanderers X Miramar Misiones – Uruguay Clausura
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 21:45
🔵 Montevideo Wanderers – Winning probability: 55.84% | Fair line: 1.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.73% | Fair line: 3.89
🔴 Miramar Misiones – Winning probability: 18.43% | Fair line: 5.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Montevideo Wanderers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227868 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones

Should you bet on Montevideo Wanderers?

🔵 Montevideo Wanderers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $616.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$176.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$155.00.

Is it worth betting on Miramar Misiones?

🔴 Miramar Misiones: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $406.80;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$413.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Montevideo Wanderers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Montevideo Wanderers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Montevideo Wanderers.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Montevideo Wanderers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montevideo Wanderers x Miramar Misiones

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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