Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol Betting tips for November 14 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol, Thursday, 14/11/2024

📅 14/11/2024 22:30

Montevideo Wanderers 5.00

X 3.65

Penarol 1.63

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol:

🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $815.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montevideo Wanderers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol, with Montevideo Wanderers as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Montevideo Wanderers conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Montevideo Wanderers has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Penarol playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol:

Analysis from Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol for the Uruguay Clausura – 14 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221188 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol

Is it a good idea to bet on Montevideo Wanderers?

🔵 Montevideo Wanderers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $360.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $397.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$452.50.

Is it worth betting on Penarol?

🔴 Penarol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $478.80
• And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$238.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Montevideo Wanderers
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Montevideo Wanderers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Montevideo Wanderers.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montevideo Wanderers x Penarol

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.