Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23 Betting tips for April 5 in Australia NPL Queensland U23

Our betting tip for Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23, Saturday, 5/4/2025

📅 5/4/2025 04:30

Moreton City Excelsior U23 2.00

X 4.00

Lions FC U23 2.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23

The main points for the tip for Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Moreton City Excelsior U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lions FC U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Moreton City Excelsior U23 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lions FC U23 scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Moreton City Excelsior U23 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 Lions FC U23 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Moreton City Excelsior U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lions FC U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23?

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Analysis from Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23 for the Australia NPL Queensland U23 – 5 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Moreton City Excelsior U23 and Lions FC U23.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1295872 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23

Is it worth betting on Moreton City Excelsior U23?

🔵 Moreton City Excelsior U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $470.00;
• And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$60.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lions FC U23?

🔴 Lions FC U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $665.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$45.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Moreton City Excelsior U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Moreton City Excelsior U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Moreton City Excelsior U23.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Lions FC U23.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Moreton City Excelsior U23 x Lions FC U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.