Morpeth Town x Matlock Town Betting tips for November 30 in England Northern Premier League
| 📅 30/11/2024 15:00 |
 Morpeth Town2.28 |
X 3.38 |
Matlock Town  2.59 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Morpeth Town x Matlock Town:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Morpeth Town x Matlock Town
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Some important points for the tip for Morpeth Town x Matlock Town: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Morpeth Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. |
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Analysis from Morpeth Town x Matlock Town for the England Northern Premier League – 30 of November
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🏟️ Morpeth Town X Matlock Town – England Northern Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Morpeth Town and Matlock Town.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Morpeth Town x Matlock Town
Is it worth betting on Morpeth Town?
🔵 Morpeth Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $409.60;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $618.80;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$121.20.
Is it worth betting on Matlock Town?
🔴 Matlock Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $667.80;
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$87.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Morpeth Town x Matlock Town
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Morpeth Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Morpeth Town x Matlock Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Morpeth Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Morpeth Town.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Matlock Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Morpeth Town x Matlock Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
