Mortagua FC x Alverca B Betting tips for March 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
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29/3/2025 16:00 |
 Mortagua FC2.18 |
X 2.99 |
Alverca B  3.20 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mortagua FC x Alverca B:
π Ummβ¦too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Mortagua FC x Alverca B
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Important information for your tip for Mortagua FC x Alverca B: π If you had bet $100 on Mortagua FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Mortagua FC x Alverca B for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional β 29 of March
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ποΈ Mortagua FC X Alverca B β Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mortagua FC and Alverca B.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290777 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1Γ2 market for Mortagua FC x Alverca B
Is betting on Mortagua FC worth it?
π΅ Mortagua FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times β this would give you a profit of $483.80
- And would have lost other 590 times β with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$106.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times β profiting $656.70;
- And would lose other 670 times β losing -$670.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$13.30.
Is it worth betting on Alverca B?
π΄ Alverca B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times β profiting $572.00;
- And would lose other 740 times β having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$168.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mortagua FC x Alverca B
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1Γ2: -0.25 Mortagua FC
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Mortagua FC x Alverca B
β Handicap 1Γ2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mortagua FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mortagua FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1Γ2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mortagua FC x Alverca B
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
