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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Morton x Boness United FC Betting tips for November 25 in Scotland FA Cup
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Scotland FA Cup
Morton Morton
PREDICTION Morton wins Probability 2% 1 X 2
Bo'ness United FC Bo'ness United FC
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Morton x Boness United FC Betting tips for November 25 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Morton x Boness United FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Morton Morton
1.25
X
5.50
Boness United FC Boness United FC
9.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Morton x Boness United FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Morton wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Morton, you can win up to $625.00!

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The main points for the tip for Morton x Boness United FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Morton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Boness United FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $233.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Boness United FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Boness United FC has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Morton x Boness United FC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Morton x Boness United FC for the Scotland FA Cup – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Morton X Boness United FC – Scotland FA Cup
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Morton – Winning probability: 91.29% | Fair line: 1.1
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.54% | Fair line: 15.3
๐Ÿ”ด Boness United FC – Winning probability: 2.18% | Fair line: 45.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Morton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Morton and Boness United FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Morton x Boness United FC

Is betting on Morton worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Morton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $227.50;
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$137.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $315.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$615.00.

Is betting on Boness United FC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Boness United FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $165.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$815.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Morton x Boness United FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Morton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Morton x Boness United FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Morton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Morton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Boness United FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Morton x Boness United FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves