Morton x Partick Betting tips for December 31 in Scotland Championship
| 📅 31/12/2024 15:00 |
 Morton3.40 |
X 3.30 |
Partick  2.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Morton x Partick:
🔮 Partick wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Partick, you can win up to $1000.00!
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Important information for your tip for Morton x Partick: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Morton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0. |
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Analysis from Morton x Partick for the Scotland Championship – 31 of December
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🏟️ Morton X Partick – Scotland Championship |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Morton x Partick right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240909 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Morton x Partick
Should you bet on Morton?
🔵 Morton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$286.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.
Is betting on Partick worth it?
🔴 Partick: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Morton x Partick
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Morton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Morton x Partick
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Morton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Morton.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Morton.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Morton x Partick
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
