Motagua x CD Olimpia Betting tips for December 21 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Motagua x CD Olimpia, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025
01:00

Motagua
2.91

X
3.60

CD Olimpia

2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Motagua x CD Olimpia:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Motagua x CD Olimpia

Some important points for the tip for Motagua x CD Olimpia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Motagua in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Olimpia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, CD Olimpia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Motagua x CD Olimpia, with Motagua as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 Motagua matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Motagua conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Motagua conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against CD Olimpia.

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Motagua x CD Olimpia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Motagua x CD Olimpia for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 21 of December

🏟️ Motagua X CD Olimpia – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Motagua – Winning probability: 26.38% | Fair line: 3.79
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.69% | Fair line: 4.83
🔴 CD Olimpia – Winning probability: 52.93% | Fair line: 1.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Motagua
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Motagua x CD Olimpia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455188 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Motagua x CD Olimpia

Is it a good idea to bet on Motagua?

🔵 Motagua: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $496.60
And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$243.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 210 times – profiting $546.00;
And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is betting on CD Olimpia worth it?

🔴 CD Olimpia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $556.50;
And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$86.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Motagua x CD Olimpia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Motagua
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Motagua x CD Olimpia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Motagua and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Motagua.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CD Olimpia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Motagua x CD Olimpia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.