Motherwell x Hibernian Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland Premiership

Our betting tip for Motherwell x Hibernian, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Motherwell 2.55

X 3.29

Hibernian 2.69

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Motherwell x Hibernian:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Motherwell x Hibernian

Important information for your tip for Motherwell x Hibernian: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Motherwell in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hibernian in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Hibernian, Motherwell scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Motherwell matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Motherwell conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Motherwell conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Hibernian.

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Analysis from Motherwell x Hibernian for the Scotland Premiership – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Motherwell x Hibernian right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Motherwell x Hibernian

Should you bet on Motherwell?

🔵 Motherwell: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $496.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $664.10
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$45.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hibernian?

🔴 Hibernian: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $659.10
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Motherwell x Hibernian

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Motherwell
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Motherwell x Hibernian

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Motherwell, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Motherwell.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Hibernian.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Motherwell x Hibernian

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.