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Home » Predictions » Others » Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok Betting tips for December 14 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 16h30 Poland Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
PREDICTION Jagiellonia Bialystok Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok
ODD: @2.39
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Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok Betting tips for December 14 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
16:30
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
2.54
X
3.60
Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok
2.39

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok:

🔮 Jagiellonia Bialystok wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Jagiellonia Bialystok, you can win up to $1195.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Motor Lublin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Jagiellonia Bialystok in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Motor Lublin scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 14 of December

🏟️ Motor Lublin X Jagiellonia Bialystok – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Motor Lublin – Winning probability: 30.42% | Fair line: 3.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.22% | Fair line: 5.49
🔴 Jagiellonia Bialystok – Winning probability: 51.36% | Fair line: 1.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Motor Lublin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok

Is it worth betting on Motor Lublin?

🔵 Motor Lublin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $462.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$238.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is betting on Jagiellonia Bialystok worth it?

🔴 Jagiellonia Bialystok: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $708.90
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$218.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Motor Lublin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Motor Lublin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Motor Lublin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Motor Lublin x Jagiellonia Bialystok

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves